Up to date on March eighth, 2025 by Felix Martinez
The Dividend Aristocrats are a gaggle of 69 corporations within the S&P 500 Index which have elevated their dividends for 25+ consecutive years.
Throughout the Dividend Aristocrats are numerous forms of shares with differing yields. Among the Dividend Aristocrats have increased yields, however these high-yielders are likely to develop their dividends at a decrease price every year.
On the identical time, there are Dividend Aristocrats with low yields. Whereas these could look unappealing on the floor, they usually present increased dividend progress ranges from 12 months to 12 months. An instance is Brown-Forman (BF.B), a Dividend Aristocrat that has elevated its dividend for 41 consecutive years.
There are presently 69 Dividend Aristocrats, together with Brown-Forman. You possibly can obtain an Excel spreadsheet of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats (with metrics like dividend yields and price-to-earnings ratios) by clicking the hyperlink under:
Disclaimer: Positive Dividend shouldn’t be affiliated with S&P International in any manner. S&P International owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The knowledge on this article and downloadable spreadsheet is predicated on Positive Dividend’s personal evaluate, abstract, and evaluation of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and different sources, and is supposed to assist particular person buyers higher perceive this ETF and the index upon which it’s based mostly. Not one of the data on this article or spreadsheet is official knowledge from S&P International. Seek the advice of S&P International for official data.
Brown-Forman has paid a dividend for 80 years. Because of its defensive enterprise mannequin, the corporate sometimes gives excessive dividend will increase every year, even throughout recessions.
This text will talk about Brown-Forman’s progress prospects, valuation, and outlook.
Enterprise Overview
Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Whiskey received its begin all the best way again in 1865 when Jack Daniel bought Cave Spring Hole. The next 12 months, he registered the Jack Daniel Distillery, which is at the moment America’s oldest registered distillery.
Brown-Forman has a big product portfolio centered on whiskey, vodka, and tequila. Its most well-known model is its flagship, Jack Daniel’s whiskey. Different fashionable manufacturers embrace Herradura and El Jimador tequila and Finlandia vodka.
Brown-Forman reported revenues of $1.1 billion for its third quarter (fiscal 2025) earnings outcomes. The corporate’s third quarter earnings noticed a 1% decline in Q2 web gross sales to $1.1 billion, although natural gross sales grew 3%. Working earnings rose 1% to $341 million, and EPS elevated 9% to $0.55. For the primary half of fiscal 2025, web gross sales dropped 5% to $2 billion, working earnings fell 7% to $622 million, and EPS declined 3% to $0.96. CEO Lawson Whiting expects progress within the second half of the 12 months regardless of financial challenges.
Gross sales declines had been pushed by the divestitures of Finlandia and Sonoma-Cutrer, together with decrease volumes throughout key markets. Whiskey gross sales remained secure attributable to Woodford Reserve and Previous Forester, however Tequila and ready-to-drink merchandise noticed declines. U.S. web gross sales fell 7% attributable to weaker Jack Daniel’s and Korbel gross sales, whereas worldwide and rising markets confirmed combined efficiency.
Gross revenue declined 8% attributable to excessive stock and value fluctuations, however decrease bills helped offset losses. Brown-Forman elevated its dividend for the forty first consecutive 12 months. The corporate expects 2%-4% natural progress in web gross sales and working earnings however stays cautious about financial and geopolitical dangers.
Supply: Investor Presentation
Progress Prospects
Brown-Forman has a robust progress monitor report; the corporate even elevated its earnings-per-share over the past monetary disaster, as demand for alcohol shouldn’t be particularly cyclical. Historic earnings-per-share had been pushed by a mix of a number of components, together with income progress, rising margins, and the affect of a declining share rely.
As a result of Brown-Forman owns robust manufacturers and is lively within the tremendous and ultra-premium alcoholic drinks markets, which see constant market progress, Brown-Forman ought to be capable to maintain its income progress going ahead.
This has been an essential progress issue for Brown-Forman up to now. Brown-Forman’s Jack Daniels model and its American super-premium whiskeys proceed to develop across the globe.
Greater total gross sales permit for margin will increase attributable to higher economies of scale, which makes the corporate extra environment friendly total, and positively impacts its web earnings progress price.
As well as, Brown-Forman has aggressively repurchased shares up to now decade, which provides some extra progress to its backside line. Going ahead, there’s loads of progress potential left as the corporate additional expands its product line inside and out of doors its flagship Jack Daniels model.
Moreover, the corporate will buy progress by means of acquisitions, for instance, its latest buy of the Diplomático Rum model. This buy launched Brown-Forman into the rising super-premium+ rum class. Diplomático Rum is a super-premium rum from Venezuela and is distributed in over 100 international locations.
Supply: Investor Presentation
We’re forecasting 6% annual earnings-per-share progress over the following 5 years.
Aggressive Benefits & Recession Efficiency
Brown-Forman has many aggressive benefits. Its well-known manufacturers yield vital pricing energy. Due to its world scale, it has a extremely worthwhile enterprise with low manufacturing and distribution prices. These qualities assist Brown-Forman generate persistently excessive returns on invested capital.
Brown-Forman can also be very proof against recessions. That is typical amongst alcohol shares, as their merchandise are typically consumed in better quantity when financial instances are powerful. One might argue that alcohol producers carry out properly throughout recessions.
Brown-Forman’s earnings-per-share by means of the Nice Recession are proven under:
2007 earnings-per-share of $0.76
2008 earnings-per-share of $0.77 (1.3% improve)
2009 earnings-per-share of $0.82 (6.5% improve)
2010 earnings-per-share of $0.95 (15.9% improve)
As you may see, the corporate grew its earnings per share yearly by means of the Nice Recession. This uncommon accomplishment demonstrates the corporate’s defensive enterprise mannequin.
Spirits producers resembling Brown-Forman are among the many most recession-resistant companies.
Valuation & Anticipated Returns
Based mostly on our estimate for 2025 earnings-per-share of $1.80 and a present share worth close to $36, Brown-Forman shares are presently buying and selling at a P/E ratio 20.
It is a truthful a number of, even contemplating the energy of Brown-Forman’s enterprise. We estimate a good worth P/E ratio of twenty-two.
If shares had been to extend to 22 instances earnings, this suggests the potential for a 1.5% valuation tailwind over the following 5 years. On this foundation, the valuation seems truthful.
A robust earnings progress price of 6% and a couple of.5% dividend yield will assist enhance shareholder returns. Total, we estimate annual returns of 10% over the following 5 years.
Remaining Ideas
Brown-Forman has a dominant place in its core product classes. Its flagship Jack Daniel’s model ought to proceed to steer the whiskey trade, with excessive progress from its smaller whiskey manufacturers and tequilas. Rising markets are additionally an interesting progress catalyst, and naturally, the dividend progress streak is enviable.
Brown-Forman is an efficient instance of an awesome enterprise buying and selling at an exceptionally truthful valuation. The corporate has a stable dividend and really robust enterprise, the shares look significantly compelling for buy proper now.
Associated: My High 10 Purchase & Maintain Ceaselessly Shares.
Moreover, the next Positive Dividend databases include essentially the most dependable dividend growers in our funding universe:
In case you’re in search of shares with distinctive dividend traits, think about the next Positive Dividend databases:
The main home inventory market indices are one other stable useful resource for locating funding concepts. Positive Dividend compiles the next inventory market databases and updates them month-to-month:
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