Up to date on Might thirteenth, 2025 by Bob Ciura
The enchantment of progress shares is that they’ve the potential for large returns. Take into account the huge rally by Tesla, Inc. (TSLA); previously 5 years, the inventory has generated whole returns over 500%.
That’s a lifetime of returns for some buyers; Tesla has completed this in a comparatively brief time frame.
The draw back of progress shares is that volatility can work each methods. Additionally, progress shares can generate robust returns but additionally carry the burden of excessive expectations as a consequence of their sky-high valuations.
Proper now, Tesla doesn’t pay a dividend to shareholders. In consequence, we consider revenue buyers in search of decrease volatility ought to take into account high-quality dividend progress shares.
The Dividend Aristocrats are a gaggle of 69 shares within the S&P 500 Index with 25+ consecutive years of dividend progress.
You’ll be able to obtain an Excel spreadsheet of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats (with metrics that matter, akin to dividend yield and P/E ratios) by clicking the hyperlink under:
Over time, any firm – even Tesla – might make the choice to start out paying dividends to shareholders if it turns into sufficiently worthwhile.
Up to now decade, different expertise firms, akin to Alphabet (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META), have initiated quarterly dividends.
These have been as soon as quickly rising shares that matured, and Tesla might observe the identical method sooner or later.
Nonetheless, the flexibility of an organization to pay a dividend is dependent upon its enterprise mannequin, progress prospects, and monetary place.
Even with Tesla’s large run-up in share value, whether or not an organization will pay a dividend is dependent upon the underlying fundamentals.
Whereas many progress shares have made the transition to dividend shares in recent times, it’s uncertain that Tesla will be a part of the ranks of dividend-paying shares any time quickly.
Enterprise Overview
Tesla was based in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning. The corporate began out as a fledgling electrical automotive maker, however has grown at an especially excessive charge previously a number of years.
Tesla’s present market capitalization is above $1 trillion, making it a mega-cap inventory.
Amazingly, Tesla’s present market capitalization is greater than 9 instances the mixed market caps of auto trade friends Ford Motor (F) and Basic Motors (GM).
Tesla has a rising lineup of various fashions and value factors and is wanting into increasing that lineup additional to turn out to be a full-line automaker.
Since going public in 2010 at a split-adjusted value of $1.13 per share, Tesla has produced nearly unbelievable returns for shareholders in hopes of huge future progress, in addition to super progress that has already been achieved.
Since then, it has grown into the chief in electrical automobiles and enterprise operations in renewable power. Tesla produced about $97.69 billion in income in 2024.
In April, the corporate reported 2025 first-quarter income of $19.34 billion, which missed analyst estimates by $1.99 billion. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $0.27 missed estimates by $0.14 per share.
Complete income declined 9% year-over-year for the quarter, whereas adjusted EPS fell 40% year-over-year. Gross margin of 16.3% contracted by 104 foundation factors from the identical quarter the earlier yr.
Development Prospects
Tesla’s major progress catalyst is to develop gross sales of its core product line, and generate progress from new automobiles. The corporate’s S/X platform, which gave it the primary bout of strong progress, however Tesla is now targeted on ramping up its 3/Y platform.
Certainly, the three/Y platform accounted for ~95% of all deliveries final quarter.
As well as, Tesla is continuous to develop new fashions, with a pickup truck, a semi-truck, and even a less expensive, extra attainable mannequin than the three.
The corporate has begun delivering its semi-truck as manufacturing of that new automobile begins to ramp up. It is going to be a while earlier than that’s a significant income, however it’s a very new product line that would enhance income progress.
Tesla can also be ramping up automobile manufacturing. It now operates “Gigafactories” in Nevada, New York, Texas, Germany, and China, with extra to return to help rising demand.
Tesla’s aggressive benefit stems primarily from its best-in-class software program and different applied sciences, together with full self-driving mode.
Supply: Investor Replace
Tesla’s income progress has been very robust within the latest previous. It grew income at an annual charge of 25% within the four-year interval from 2020-2024.
That stage of progress is troublesome to seek out, which is why Tesla’s shares have carried out so nicely.
Whether or not Tesla can proceed to take care of its excessive progress charge is one other query.
Such a robust progress charge bodes nicely for the corporate’s future potential. Some buyers could view the steering of Tesla as too aggressive, however we notice that electrical automobile gross sales are rising at a excessive charge.
Electrical automobiles are the clear path ahead for cars, and Tesla is the chief within the area.
As well as, greater than another automaker, Tesla has delivered excellent progress yr after yr. With an increasing product line, we consider the expansion outlook for the corporate is brilliant.
Will Tesla Pay A Dividend?
Tesla has skilled fast progress of cargo volumes and income previously a number of years. However in the end, an organization’s capability to pay dividends to shareholders additionally requires sustained earnings progress.
Whereas Tesla has been the epitome of a progress inventory by means of its top-line progress and big share value positive aspects, its profitability remains to be small in relation to its market cap.
TSLA inventory is at the moment buying and selling at greater than 230 instances its anticipated 2025 EPS of $1.39.
With out reaching constant profitability, an organization can’t pay dividends to its shareholders.
Tesla misplaced cash because it grew to become publicly traded again in 2010, up till 2020. It goes with out saying {that a} money-losing firm wants to boost capital to proceed to fund operations.
To that finish, Tesla has bought shares and issued debt to cowl losses and fund enlargement in recent times, each of which make paying a dividend much more troublesome.
Nonetheless, since 2020, Tesla has quickly expanded its profitability and produced simply over $7 billion in GAAP internet revenue in 2024.
The corporate additionally generates optimistic free money circulate, making it simpler to service its debt obligations and keep away from future dilutive share issuances.
Moreover, the corporate doesn’t pay any internet curiosity expense, as its curiosity revenue exceeds its curiosity expense.
We see the advance in profitability and free money circulate, in addition to the improved stability sheet, as supportive of the corporate’s capability to ultimately pay a dividend.
Nonetheless, Tesla remains to be very a lot in high-growth mode, and we count on any dividend that could be paid to be a few years away. In different phrases, it’s far more worthwhile for Tesla to reinvest its earnings in its enterprise than to distribute it to shareholders.
Even when Tesla determined to provoke a dividend, it might probably be very low.
For example, if Tesla have been to distribute 30% of its anticipated 2025 EPS within the type of dividends (a regular payout ratio for progress shares that pay dividends), the inventory would solely yield ~0.2%.
Such a yield will likely be immaterial for the shareholders, however the dividend would deprive the corporate of money that might be utilized for higher-return progress initiatives.
Remaining Ideas
Tesla is among the premier progress shares within the inventory market. Shareholders who had the foresight to purchase Tesla in its early years have been rewarded with huge returns by means of a hovering share value.
Nonetheless, buyers in search of dividends and security over the long term ought to most likely proceed to take a move on Tesla inventory. The corporate appears dedicated to utilizing all of the money circulate at its disposal to enhance its operations’ profitability and spend money on progress initiatives.
Whereas there may be all the time a chance that Tesla’s huge share value rally might regain steam, it is usually attainable that the inventory might fall. Traders ought to keep in mind that volatility can work each methods.
Extra defensive buyers, akin to retirees, who’re primarily involved with defending principal and dividend revenue, ought to as a substitute concentrate on high-quality dividend progress shares, such because the Dividend Aristocrats.
It’s unlikely that Tesla will ever pay a dividend, or a minimum of not for a few years.
If you’re curious about discovering extra high-quality dividend progress shares appropriate for long-term funding, the next Certain Dividend databases will likely be helpful:
The key home inventory market indices are one other strong useful resource for locating funding concepts. Certain Dividend compiles the next inventory market databases and updates them month-to-month:
Thanks for studying this text. Please ship any suggestions, corrections, or inquiries to help@suredividend.com.